Sunday, October 4, 2015

Interesting game and a huge odds drop on the away team here. Analysing this game, I realized the reason for the drop. Chico is in the last place with only 5 goals scored and 9 points won over 12 games. They are certainly the worst team in the league. Pasto is far from being the best, but they are battling for the spot in the top 8 which leads to the playoffs. There is no doubt about who is the better team here, and an obvious mistake by the bookmakers that is correcting itself by the market movements. I expect odds drop even more by the time that this game starts. Smaller stake for this one. Good Luck.

Deportivo Pasto to win against Chico FC in ordinary time at odds 2.50


Tottenham has had a tough couple of games in the last two weeks. They've done a great job and collected points in some crucial games, the only blemish being a loss to Arsenal. All those games left a scar on the Tottenham roster and they currently have 5 standard players sidelined with injuries. The only bright spot for them is the fact that Chadli should be ready to play today. The very difficult part of the schedule ends today with the game against Swansea. The home team did continue the momentum gained from a win over Man. Utd. and they have only one point in three games since then. The primary concern for them is the inability to score on a consistent basis. 8 goals in 7 games will just not do the trick in the Premiership. Today's game will be a difficult one for both of these teams. Swansea has to step up their game and win any amount of points today, and fatigued Tottenham has to manage the same. I see this game being very slow paced and probably inefficient. Good chance for an under 2.5 scenario and I will back it up with a medium stake. Good Luck.

Total goals under 2.50 goals in ordinary time at odds 1.89


Astana needs to win next couple of games in order to be in position for a title shot. the lost the last 2 games and if they lose this one as well, they can say goodbye to the title race. 10 points behind the leader, but 2 games less, spells the urgency for Astana. Home team is on the decline of form and they've lost last 5 games and have only one win in the last 10. Odds are dropping rapidly for this game and I am already a bit late. This is one of the most important games for Astana and the opponent is a weaker team. Medium stake for this one. Good Luck.

FC Astana to win against Atyrau in ordinary time at odds 2.15


The third round of Champions League sees an interesting game between Leverkusen and Roma. This may prove to be the pivotal game for the outcome of this group, so it will be a high priority game for both of these teams. Leverkusen is holding the seconds spot on the table and a home win here will cement their spot for the next round. Roma is under tremendous pressure here, and loss in the previous round might prove to be fatal if they don't collect the points in this one. With both teams eyeing that seconds spot behind the defending champion Barcelona, duel in Germany is going to be very interesting. The key to this match lies in the performance of the offensive lines. Roma will have difficulty with the very fast Chicharito, and Leverkusen, on the other hand, needs to keep their eye on Gervinho. Bookmakers are giving great odds for "both sides to score" type of bet and a great deal of value lies within it. Expect this game to be very efficient and I wouldn't be surprised if we see multiple goals on both sides. Medium stake for this one. Good Luck.

Both teams to score in ordinary time - yes at odds 1.83



Saturday, October 3, 2015

Carpi didn’t start the new season well, but nobody will be surprised with it, as the team is a newly promoted side and such things are more than usual. With what they showed so far, it will be really hard for the team to stay in the Serie A unless they seek a huge improvement during the next transfer window. Torino, on the other hand, is a pleasant surprise in the league. The truth is that the club is having steady progress in previous seasons and it won’t be much of a surprise if they manage to get European ticket. After six rounds, they have four victories, a draw and a defeat and are only two points below leaders. They are a bit weaker on he side, but an away game against the weakest team in the Seria A should pose no problem. Smaller stake for this one. Good Luck

Torino to win against Carpi in ordinary time at odds 2.25


We all watched Kanzas City Chiefs get destroyed on the Monday night football, they lost to a pretty good Broncos team that probably has the best defense in the league on Thursday night. Because of those two games, they are being undervalued right now. It's not that Cincinnati is not a good football team, but I think they are gonna come back to earth a little this week. I am picking Chiefs +4.5 and we have already seen the reverse line movement, a lot fo the Bengals money came in early and in respond to that, odds are pretty favorable for me to stake a medium amount. Good Luck.

Kansas City Chiefs Asian Handicap +4.50 in full event at odds 1.85


City is starting to lose steam, which is quite understandable. They lost the last 2 games in the Premier League and struggled in the win against Monchengladbach in the Champions League. They are a favorite in today's game no doubt about it, but I think they will need to put in an extra effort for this one in order to win points. Newcastle, on the other side, had one of the better performances in the new season and surprised in a positive way in a 2:2 draw against Chelsea at home in the previous round. It's really the shame they only took one a point in that one. Today I reckon we will see a cautious start by the both teams and I like the chances Newcastle has on the halftime. City drew 4 out of 7 games this season at the half-time and Newcastle drew 3. There is a good chance for that outcome and I will back it with a smaller stake. Good Luck.

1st half's outcome is either x or 2 at odds 2.38


I am surprised by the success of this West Ham squad, just because I think Bilic is not a very good tactician. He is very strong when it comes to motivating a team to play good against a better opponent, but as the opponents get weaker, the team does not respond very well to his playing style. Today they get to visit the worst team in the premiership this season and they are under pressure to win points. But I wouldn't be that eager to jump on the chance to back them. Although 2.4 odds given for West Ham sounds really good, it is also the sign that the bookmakers aren't exactly convinced that West Ham is the clear cut favorite today, and neither am I. I would rather back the BTTS, especially since Sunderland hasn't scored in the last 3 games, and West Ham have scored at least 2 in the last 5 games. There is a good chance that both of teams find the back of the net today. Smaller stake for this one. Good Luck.

Both teams to score in ordinary time - yes at odds 1.75


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