Chelsea vs Everton

Everton has stringed together a couple of really good performances since the devastating loss to Stoke in the last minute of the game. They played Manchester City twice and won one game. They are playing solid football but there is a problem that keeps showing up in their games this season. They play poorly against teams that are from the top of the of the lot. And no matter what the standings are, Chelse is a top tier team in the Premier League and, maybe even more important, they are motivated. Chelsea is catching the last train in January to catch up with the Champions League portion of the table and they will take this game very seriously, especially after the draw against WBA. Odds are not favoring home team enough and I will stake a medium stake on this game. Good Luck.

Chelsea to win against Everton in ordinary time at odds 1.86

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Denver Nuggets vs Miami Heat

Denver has been on the rebuild this season and they are looking to make a splash as soon as the next season. That being said, they are playing solid basketball considering their roster and with Gallinari back, they even managed to get a win over the Golden State on Wednesday. But it is far-fetched to imagine that they should be at even odds with Miami tonight, considering injuries on the visiting team as well. But the bookmakers are having little fate in the Heat which is a mistake no one should make often. This team is yet to lose 4 straight in a very long time and they lost last 3 games. They will be motivated tonight to perform and I think their overall quality just trumps Denver's athletic team. Look for Bosh to go big in this game. Smaller stake for this one. Good Luck.

Miami Heat Asian Handicap -1.50 in full event at odds 1.84

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Charlotte Hornets vs Atlanta Hawks

After looking like one of the best teams in the Eastern Conference over the first couple of months, the Charlotte Hornets have now dropped seven straight games overall. The Hornets are missing their man in the middle, Al Jefferson, but there is no reason for this team to be playing so poorly. They mostly fail in the keeping the pace of the game on track and are often failing in the first half of the game. Atlanta is slowly picking up the tempo after a slow start of the season and they will be looking to time their peak of the form for the playoffs. This game should be an inefficient one and slow pace is what gives me confidence that an under 207.5 game is quite possible. Smaller stake for this one. Good Luck.

The match between Charlotte Hornets and Atlanta Hawks will end with under 207.50 points in full event at odds 1.90

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Liverpool vs Arsenal

With this being a really important game for both of these teams, the pressure is mounting up as the game draws near. What really sticks out to me is the fact that Wenger was going "all in" for the game against Sunderland in the FA Cup last week in order not to mess with the team chemistry. This game will decide a lot in this years Premier League. Arsenal has the chance to cement their top spot while for Liverpool is one of the last chances to catch the pace of the top 5 teams. I also feel like this game is perfectly timed for Klopp as well as it is a perfect test for him to show his progress. This game will not lack pace, motivation and I am hoping goals. Everyone is expecting a low scoring game and the market is responding to that trend which really makes a perfect opportunity to exploit high odds given for over 2.5 goals. Medium stake for this one. Good Luck.

Total goals over 2.50 goals in ordinary time at odds 2.03

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PSV - Atletico Madrid

Despite qualifying for the knockout stage of this year's Champions League, PSV is not really having a great season. The domestic championship  is not decided yet, but what sticks out are the defensive holes many teams managed to exploit. Same goes for the teams they played in the group stage of the Champions League. They score a lot of goals but the all out attacking style is hurting them on the other end. One of the best teams in the world to exploit such a game style is Atletico Madrid. They play fast paced football and are extremely efficient in the high-pressure games such as this one. They do not shy away from the challenge and rarely play a safe away game in the hopes to get the job done at home. Instead, they use every opportunity they have to attack their opponent, and I see no reason for them to stop that practice for this game. I expect an open game where both of these teams press for the win and with a really good chance of over two goals. Great odds are posted for this bet and I am willing to stake a medium amount on this game. Good Luck.

Total goals over 2.50 goals in ordinary time at odds 2.45

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Performance Review

Things have leveled off since the last review and we have overcome the technical difficulties we had, but they left a dent in our plan to post tips with the 1 a day frequency. We are still working out kinks in our mailing list and have a couple of ideas on how to improve our pick selection. The main thing in this review is that we recorded a minute loss over the last 50 picks which leveled our ROI % to a more reasonable point. Important goals are still the same and we will be looking to reach all of them by the next review. 

Here is the summary of our work after 150 posted picks:

• Average odds:      2.05
• Winrate:                 55.33%
• Total staked:         1196
• Total Returned:     1366.4
• ROI:                        14.25%
• Profit:                     170.4

Having a win rate over 55% ✔
Having average odds slightly better than 2.0 ✔
Having ROI % run over 10%, ✔
Post picks with regular frequency, minimum 5 a week ✔
Objective focus on value/general public ✔
Fine tune stake size system to minimize risk and maximize profit ✔
Fine tune publishing system so that picks get to bettors in a timely fashion 
Set up a regular weekly preview blog

Sort out and automatize posting process 

Couple of goals still left for us to reach and we are working on a couple of new ones. Let us know in the Contact Us section page if there is something You would like us to work on.

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Victoria Azarenka vs Roberta Vinci

This is an interesting matchup between these two competitors where the current form tilts to the one side, but the history of their matchups tilts to the other. A healthy balance can be found in the fact that this is the start of the season and history is really more important than the current form. And mental strength is a huge factor here as well. Bookmakers have the same logic as they favored heavily Azarenka over Vinci. What I think the best course to take when approaching this match is consideration of the implied odds coupled with the official ranking. I think this match will get really competitive, especially in the first set and we could easily see the match going over 19.5 games. Medium stake for this one. Good Luck.

The match between Victoria Azarenka and Roberta Vinci will end with over 19.50 games in full event at odds 1.87

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Roger Federer vs Tobias Kamke

At the start of the new season, Roger will be looking to repeat last year's success, playing a couple of Grand Slam finals and winning a couple of masters. Brisbane is where he starts his campaign but the first opponent is somewhat of a challenge. Tobias Kamke is ranked 277 but I expect him to finish the year in at least top 150. He has been looking good in the 3 matches he already played in Brisbane and he will me going for broke in this match. Federer played an exhibition comp 3 weeks ago and looked like he is not really on top of his game. An excellent price is given for over 9.5 games in the first set and I am willing to take it for a small stake. Good Luck.

The match between Roger Federer and Tobias Kamke will end with over 9.50 games in 1st set at odds 2.50

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