Player performance

Evan Fournier over under line sits @ 10.5 points at the moment and there is real value in playing this one under. He does not play a lot of minutes and when he does he is rarely driving to the basket. He has a weird shot that is easy to block and is not a very good shooter under pressure. He averaged 5.0 points last season against OKC, in 17.3 minutes and even less...

Read More

Orlando Magic vs Washington Wizards

NBA season full be in full motion tonight where we have a 14 game schedule and it's like Christmas. What I noticed immediately is the over under line bookmakers gave for this game. Skiles is on the verge of having a really good roster in Orlando and I believe their tanking days are behind them. He is very known for a defensive approach to the game and I believe he has the...

Read More

Roma vs Udinese

This is a very tough 2-week stretch for They played last week 3 games and will be doing so in the next 7 days as well. Considering they are standing good in the Seria A and not so well in the Champions League, they will need to prioritize focus on the game against Leverkusen next week. But that focus will have to manifest itself somewhere. This analysis is basically...

Read More

Atlanta Hawks vs Detroit Pistons

These teams met in the last game of the preseason, and Detroit won in a pretty one sided game. But the circumstances are way more different today. Atlanta rested all the key players on Friday night, but today they will be charging full steam! They want to open the season with a win and there is an interesting match ahead of us. There will be a lot of difficulty of the...

Read More

PSG vs St Etienne

There is an interesting movement in the market into the favor of the home team. It seems like bookmakers and bettors alike are certain that PSG will dominate St Etienne in this game and I just love these types of games. This is the moment where betting against general public has value. If you look at the PSG results they seem impressive, but a HT/FT stat shows that they...

Read More

AFC Bournemouth vs Tottenham Hotspur

In the days leading up to this match, I found it quite confusing that the odds given here are that high. As an explanation, I reasoned that couple of factors may have led the bookmakers to have less faith in the Spurs than i do. First of Totneham has only one win in the last 6 games in all competitions. Some may take that as a sign that they are on the decline of...

Read More

Performance review

We have made some tweaks in our pick selection and bounced back from a downswing around 70th - 80th and we are really happy with our results. These first 100 picks were sort of a benchmark for us where we set some goals up and most of them were achieved: Having a win rate over 55% ✔ Having average odds slightly better than 2.0 ✔ Having ROI % run over 10%, ✔ Post...

Read More

Universidad de Chile vs Santiago Wanderers

The home side is an offensive minded squad that plays aggressive style football, and with a quite success. 5 out of the last 9 games they've played ended with at least 4 goals. Attacking teams often are vulnerable to counter attacks so I expect this game to be very efficient. The away team has a solid roster and they are capable of very fast counter attack strategy....

Read More

Gent vs Valencia

There is an interesting dynamic in the group H of this year's Champions League. With Zenit winning all three games, and Valencia occupying the second spot on the table, an important battle is being fought for the third spot that leads to Europe League. Gent has drawn the first game with Lyon and they need to collect any amount of points before they face them for a rematch...

Read More

Arsenal vs Everton

All eyes were on Arsenal when they played a Champions League group game against Bayern Munich. In a very important match, they performed well, but the result is a bit misleading. Arsenal was maybe a slightly better in a high-pressure game and they got the points needed. But the real cost of that game will be shown today. They host Everton and are already expected to win...

Read More

Leicester City vs Crystal Palace

Both of the teams are playing well and they are separated only by a single point. An interesting game is ahead of us because it's a direct duel of the teams that are aiming for that spot on the table leading to Euro cups. An  interesting match is expected today as both of the clubs will be pressing for the win. Neither team would be happy with a draw  so...

Read More

Orlando Magic vs Memphis Grizzlies

This is the final test for both of these teams before the season starts on Tuesday night. Memphis has a perfect score in the preseason and they have been doing a stellar job trying out all the rotations and the offensive adjustments. They are one of the best defensive teams in the league and they are extremely adept to limiting teams to a small number of points. Orlando...

Read More

Schalke 04 vs Sparta Prague

Schalke is playing really well. They are playing an aggressive style football where they are outrunning opponents and spacing the field really well, which is in terms directly reflected in their results. They won 7 out of last 10 games and they are very entertaining to watch. Sparta will come today hoping that they can win any number of points but ultimately, they are...

Read More

FK Qabala vs Borussia Dortmund

Bookmakers and general betting public are at it again. This game is in my opinion not as one sided as the odds would have you think. It's not the teams that are the problem, it's the perceived league strength. Azerbaijan league gets no credit in the bookmakers assessment of the odds for this game. Mistake. Qabala has been steadily building a good team and they are playing...

Read More

Miami Heat vs Washington Wizards

NBA preseason is closing to an end and each of these teams is in the process of fine tuning the team. NBA preseason often serves for the ability check of the second unit in the team and this is what I think what will decide this match. Both coaches were mixing the roster quite a bit during this preseason and I just think that, with no competitive motivation, best players...

Read More

Galatasaray vs Benfica

There is an incredible amount of value in this game. My estimate is that bookmakers and the betting public are really misled by the fact that Benfica won on the road against Atletico Madrid. But whoever watched that game can attest to the fact that they were by no chance a better team in that game. They only shot 2 times on the goal and scored twice. I think they are in...

Read More

Atletico Madrid vs FC Astana

Bookmakers took no mercy on FC Astana and lines are so unfavorable on them that it might more profitable betting against the spread that is currently cover -2.5 for an even odds game. Although there is a definite success line betting against the spread of overwhelming favorites, we are going to back the other option for today's game. This game is going to be officiated...

Read More

L. A. Lakers vs Portland Trail Blazers

Both of these teams seem to be destined for a season without making the playoffs, even though they have somewhat respectable rosters. Tonight they have the opportunity to end up a preseason on the high note and we are very likely going to witness a close and interesting match. Lakers are the favorites here, as they should be, but I wouldn't just easily dismiss the Blazers...

Read More