Player performance

Evan Fournier over under line sits @ 10.5 points at the moment and there is real value in playing this one under. He does not play a lot of minutes and when he does he is rarely driving to the basket. He has a weird shot that is easy to block and is not a very good shooter under pressure. He averaged 5.0 points last season against OKC, in 17.3 minutes and even less this season overall. Unless he strikes a really prolific shooting night and hits a couple of 3 pointers early, I expect him to go well under 10.5

Under 10.5 points in the full event at odds 1.85

Tobias Harris will have a difficult task of matching up with Kevin Durant. In a matchup like that, a primary concern will have to fall on defense and that should leave little room to have a prolific offensive night. He is averaging a lot more points this season comparing to the last but still it won't be easy playing against OKC and their fast pace offense and still be able to perform on both ends. Something would have to give I expect it to be his point total that sits on 15.5. 

Under 15.5 points in the full event at odds 1.85

An interesting duel will be happening under the rim where Vucevic will have to battle both Ibaka and Kanter. The line given to Kanter stands @ 13.5 points and there is a thin value in playing over just because Kanter will be better than Dedmon and Jason Smith when Vucevic sits down. Smaller stake for this one. 

Over 13.5 points in the full event at odds 1.85

Philly is stacked big guys season after season, but a potential dark horse star has risen in the last year  or so in the likes of Isaiah Canaan. He is playing really well and he is putting up nice numbers so far. What is more important for this game is that he doesn't rely on drives to the basket but rather to his jump shot which is good for him cause he wouldn't stand a chance in the Jazz paint. During preseason and in the first game of the regluar season he hasn't scored less than 9 and I expect him to go over that in this game too. 

Over 9.5 points in the full event at odds 1.85

David Lee changed the environment this summer and came to Boston hoping to be a bigger cog in the team than he was in Golden State, but he is still adjusting to the system Celtics play. He was struggling against an athletic inside defense by the Sixers and he faces equally tough Toronto defense tonight. Unless he steps out to 12-15 ft range and hits a couple or gets to FT line 6 or 7 times, he is in for another low scoring night. Smaller stake for this one. 

Under 12.5 points in the full event at odds 1.85

Andre Drummond is having a great season so far and he has been sort of a center piece for this Detroit offense. But He is facing Bulls tonight where the defenders of the paint are showing an amazing cohesion this season, especially Pau who seems to be quick on his feet this season. Detroit will have a tough game tonight and Drummond, in particular, will have no easy baskets, and he might even go to FT line a lot, where you wouldn't want him to be. 

Under 16.5 points in the full even at odds 1.85