FC Astana vs Atletico Madrid

Odds are overwhelmingly in the favor of the visiting team and I am not so sure that they should be that much one sided. Atletico has a better squad and they are a favorite to pick up the points here, but if the match against Benfica taught us anything is that they are not invincible. Fast pace counterattacks and mid pitch pressure are their strong suits, but that only works if the other team lets them exploit the blank space in the middle. I think Astana here knows their limits and will try to play for a draw as they are probably looking to get in the best possible spot for a home game in the last round to get to that 3rd spot and Europa League. There is a great deal of value, but the odds are dropping on the home team half time double chance. Medium stake for this one. Good Luck.

1st half's outcome is either 1 or X at odds 2.15

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New York Knicks vs San Antonio Spurs

Despite what some experts say, the Knicks haven't looked better than this in the last couple of years. They are slowly starting to adopt the triangle offense system and with a couple of key cogs for that system they can even look forward to next couple of years of playoff basketball. That being said, there has to be a huge respect for the Spurs. They have an amazing deep squad and the Pop is just a coaching genius that has this team in the top 3 contender spots every single year. They are still adjusting to Aldridge addition and that iso play style he excels at but there should be no doubt about the winner tonight and I back the Spurs -6.5 with a medium stake. Good Luck.

San Antonio Spurs Asian Handicap -6.50 in full event at odds 1.81

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Jiri Vesely vs Alexandr Dolgopolov

Jiri Vesely plays a match against Alexandr Dolgopolov in this encounter in round one of ATP Paris. Vesely is a talented 22-year old player and is ranked 38th in the world on a 34-30 record in 2015. He lost four out of his last six matches, but if you take a close look  it is noticeable that those losses came against tough opponents: Richard Gasquet, Kevin Anderson, Gilles Simon and Tomas Berdych. Dolgolopov is ranked 36th in the ATP but they strength is currently not his suit. The 27-year old had injury problems recently, retired in this last match against Dusan Lajovic. It is very apparent that forms of these players do not correspond the odds given for the first set winner. Medium stake for this one. Good Luck.

Alexandr Dolgopolov will win in 1st set at odds 1.73

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Aris Limassol vs Nea Salamis

Cyprus has a very interesting premier league football league. I recently started paying more attention to it and found that their matches are really interesting to watch and are often very efficient. This match specifically is interesting because of the home team. Aris started off season way bellow expectations but the things are seemingly starting to turn around. They won the last two games and today's match is a perfect test to see if they are indeed on the right path. The away team is on the other hand, performing well beyond the expectations and this will be an important game for them as well. This will be an interesting and hopefully an efficient game and is find the odds for BTTS bet have a real value. Medium stake for this one. Good Luck.

Both teams to score in ordinary time - yes at odds 1.73

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Charlotte Hornets vs Atlanta Hawks

Charlotte has lost the two opening games in this season, but they were competitive in both of them. They almost overcame the 14 point deficit in the 4th quarter and were a couple of turnovers too many from having a chance to win that game. Now they play in Charlotte where Atlanta may be without Korver as he is still on limited minutes recovering from an injury. There is a priority for Charlotte to improve their ball handling and tighten up things on the defensive end. They haven't lost their first 3 games since 2010 and I expect them to step it up on the home court and get the win. Medium stake for this one. Good Luck.

Charlotte Hornets will win the match at odds 2.05

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Genoa vs SSC Napoli

Napoli seems very impressive, as the team now comes from their seventh consecutive victory, last win coming against Palermo. They were in control of the game from the start, scoring in both halves (via Higuain and Mertens), leaving no room for visitors to respond in any manner. Genoa is a decent side, but at the same time can’t be compared with in-form Napoli. If the visitors take this game seriously, they should have no problems getting all three points today. Much better sides were defeated in the last couple of games, and this game should not hold any surprises and I will stake Napoli win with a medium stake. Good Luck.

SSC Napoli to win against Genoa in ordinary time at odds 1.85

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Player performance

Evan Fournier over under line sits @ 10.5 points at the moment and there is real value in playing this one under. He does not play a lot of minutes and when he does he is rarely driving to the basket. He has a weird shot that is easy to block and is not a very good shooter under pressure. He averaged 5.0 points last season against OKC, in 17.3 minutes and even less this season overall. Unless he strikes a really prolific shooting night and hits a couple of 3 pointers early, I expect him to go well under 10.5

Under 10.5 points in the full event at odds 1.85

Tobias Harris will have a difficult task of matching up with Kevin Durant. In a matchup like that, a primary concern will have to fall on defense and that should leave little room to have a prolific offensive night. He is averaging a lot more points this season comparing to the last but still it won't be easy playing against OKC and their fast pace offense and still be able to perform on both ends. Something would have to give I expect it to be his point total that sits on 15.5. 

Under 15.5 points in the full event at odds 1.85

An interesting duel will be happening under the rim where Vucevic will have to battle both Ibaka and Kanter. The line given to Kanter stands @ 13.5 points and there is a thin value in playing over just because Kanter will be better than Dedmon and Jason Smith when Vucevic sits down. Smaller stake for this one. 

Over 13.5 points in the full event at odds 1.85

Philly is stacked big guys season after season, but a potential dark horse star has risen in the last year  or so in the likes of Isaiah Canaan. He is playing really well and he is putting up nice numbers so far. What is more important for this game is that he doesn't rely on drives to the basket but rather to his jump shot which is good for him cause he wouldn't stand a chance in the Jazz paint. During preseason and in the first game of the regluar season he hasn't scored less than 9 and I expect him to go over that in this game too. 

Over 9.5 points in the full event at odds 1.85

David Lee changed the environment this summer and came to Boston hoping to be a bigger cog in the team than he was in Golden State, but he is still adjusting to the system Celtics play. He was struggling against an athletic inside defense by the Sixers and he faces equally tough Toronto defense tonight. Unless he steps out to 12-15 ft range and hits a couple or gets to FT line 6 or 7 times, he is in for another low scoring night. Smaller stake for this one. 

Under 12.5 points in the full event at odds 1.85

Andre Drummond is having a great season so far and he has been sort of a center piece for this Detroit offense. But He is facing Bulls tonight where the defenders of the paint are showing an amazing cohesion this season, especially Pau who seems to be quick on his feet this season. Detroit will have a tough game tonight and Drummond, in particular, will have no easy baskets, and he might even go to FT line a lot, where you wouldn't want him to be. 

Under 16.5 points in the full even at odds 1.85

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Orlando Magic vs Washington Wizards

NBA season full be in full motion tonight where we have a 14 game schedule and it's like Christmas. What I noticed immediately is the over under line bookmakers gave for this game. Skiles is on the verge of having a really good roster in Orlando and I believe their tanking days are behind them. He is very known for a defensive approach to the game and I believe he has the team with just a right amount of talent and physicality to achieve his plan. They will host the Wizzards tonight in an interesting game. Wizards are a team that can either for 70 or 120 points on any given night. But they are basically extremely reliant on their back-court to carry with the shooting proves of Beal and driving skills of Wall. None of those will fare well against a beefed up and generally higher ( literally higher) squad of Orlando. I am very confident that this game won't go near a line set by the bookmakers and this is the game I will put a medium stake on. Good Luck.

The match between Orlando Magic and Washington Wizards will end with under 205.50 points in full event at odds 1.87

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