Toronto Raptors vs Detroit Pistons

The Raptors are looking amazing and have a 10 game winning streak. They are playing good fundamental basketball and most of all, they are really cohesive. No one on the team is bigger than the game which is a rarity in the NBA these days. Where they are a bit thin is the second unit and I got the feeling that unless they bolster up a bit on the bench, they are not going to be able to win the East. But they certainly have enough talent to win over the Pistons tonight. Detroit started off this season well under Van Gundy but have since fallen off. They lack some chemistry and have a lot of room to improve. Until they do so, they are no match for Raptors and I expect an easy home win tonight. Medium stake for this one. Good Luck.

Toronto Raptors Asian Handicap -6.50 in full event at odds 1.85

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Denver Nuggets vs Atlanta Hawks

What a pleasant surprise have the Nuggets been over the last couple of games. They are playing without any pressure and their games have been really entertaining. And having shortened that injury list to only Chandler really helps them put up a better than expected performance. Hawks are a bit disappointing in terms of their gameplay this season. They were supposed to take the step forward and challenge Cleveland fo that top East spot, instead they have taken a step backwards and are not looking like a team that can win a series in the playoffs. They are really lacking the defensive structure they had last season and that need to change if they are to bee a contender. This game will be entertaining and I expect to see well over the 207.5 mark. Medium stake for this one. Good luck.

The match between Denver Nuggets and Atlanta Hawks will end with over 207.50 points in full event at odds 1.94

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Toronto Raptors vs L. A. Clippers

Clippers are doing ok even without one of their starting lineup stars. Blake Griffing has been injured in the last couple of weeks but Clippers managed to put together a solid win streak. They won 13 out of the last 15 games and scored well over 100 per game. Today they are visiting the Raptors which are also on the surge and have won 11 out of last 15 and are really starting to look like a team from last years playoff. A couple of good offensive minded teams are about to square of and a over 204.5 line looks really good to me, enough to stake a medium amount on this game. Good Luck.

The match between Toronto Raptors and L. A. Clippers will end with over 204.50 points in full event at odds 1.87

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Brooklyn Nets vs Oklahoma City Thunder

There aren't a lot of games on the schedule on Sunday, but all the games are interesting and present some hood opportunities for betting. There is a nice line for this game posted and I am vert surprised by the price given. Brooklyn recently fired a coach and made an executive GM decision. So they are in full rebuild mode and what I like about those teams is that they are quite unpredictable. They can run or stay passive, win or lose and make otherwise unwatchable matches really interesting. Oklahoma is struggling this season even though they were in contention on the West. They are playing somewhat inconsistent and there is no value in betting the spread when they visit Brooklyn tonight. But what I am sure if that this match will go well above the 207.5 mark offered by the bookmakers. This is one of the safest bets so far this year. Easily I would recommend a higher stake for this game. Rarely I do this but this time, I am happy to. Good Luck.

The match between Brooklyn Nets and Oklahoma City Thunder will end with over 207.50 points in full event at odds 1.91

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Arsenal vs Chelsea

This is a treat for all football fans. This game is usually one of the title-deciding games but today that decision is only applicable to Arsenal. The are in contention while Chelse will even struggle to reach Champions League this year. That makes this a rather unusually interesting games. Of course, that pressure is high for this one but I believe it is the good kind of pressure if you like attractive football. This game will be important for both teams but neither of them would be really happy with a draw here. So fireworks is what I predict for this game and I am staking a small amount on it. Good Luck.

Total goals over 1.50 goals in 1st half at odds 3.21

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Crystal Palace vs Tottenham Hotspur

With a couple of interesting games in the Premiership today, I was pleasantly surprised by the odds that bookmakers are literally giving away. Another game that I was willing to bet even without these odds was this one. Tottenham seems to have finally found the right pace for their games and looking really good over the course of last 5 matches. Crystal Palace, on the other hand, is losing the battle with the intensity of the other teams and they are on a decline of form, down but not out. This game will undoubtedly be interesting and quite even but given the odds I have to go with an away victory here and will place a smaller amount on this game. Good Luck.

Tottenham Hotspur to win against Crystal Palace in ordinary time at odds 2.27

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Norwich City vs Liverpool

There have been a lot of managerial talks this season in the Premiership. With Man UTD, Chelsea and Liverpool being way bellow the expectations, the general public tends to blame managers for the bad results but rarely someone even considers other factors. Motivation, competition, fatigue, schedule and all other factors that need to be counted in are often forgotten. I believe that Klopp was the right move for this Liverpool squad and they will slowly start to show better results as they get more familiar with his style. With the results lately being worse than usual, betting public and bookmakers alike have lost faith and priced in Liverpool quite high in the last couple of matches. To all of them I have to say: Thank You! I will gladly keep betting on the Liverpool games until everyone comes to their senses. For me this a medium stake bet with great odds. Good Luck.

Liverpool to win against Norwich City in ordinary time at odds 2.13

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Toronto Raptors vs Boston Celtics

Boston is looking really good this year and if the stay healthy, they are a lock in the playoffs and may even go further than last year. A lot of teams have dropped off in the Eastern Conference with Atlanta and Miami and even Washington clearly struggling but the Raptors have stayed compact, haven't changed a bit in their style and are looking really good. They will be more competitive and have Boston dominated in almost every position so I expect them to come out firing today and get a win in front of the home crowd. Medium stake for this one. Good Luck.

Toronto Raptors Asian Handicap -3.50 in full event at odds 1.95

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L. A. Lakers vs Sacramento Kings

Lakers are continuing with Kobe Bryant farewell season and since he announced his retirement, they have played without criticism or pressure. What is important to realize in this situation is the fact that they are just not competitive enough. On the other side, we have Sacramento Kings that are starting to look like a playoff team as the Cousins - Karl relationship gets better. Cousins is undoubtedly a superstar in the making and he has the ability to carry games from down low. The key for this game lies exactly in that centers matchup where kings are just far superior and they will win this game hands down. Medium stake for this game. Good Luck.

Sacramento Kings Asian Handicap -8.50 in full event at odds 2.45

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Slovenia vs Spain

This match could very well be super one-sided which holds no value for spread betting. But if you are looking for value, it can be found in the over under betting. Spain is playing tremendous offense and they showcased their offensive proves in the match against Germany. That will surely be a big task for an inconsistent defense of Slovenia. So if this match goes the Spain's way, we could easily see them relaxed when playing defense as they will simply rely on offense to win them this game. With 52.5 over bet, you get incredible value and I am willing to stake a medium amount on it. Good Luck.

Total goals over 52.50 goals in ordinary time at odds 1.85

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Stoke City vs Arsenal

An important match for both of these teams will be a very interesting one to watch. I would go as far as to state that this is one of the most exciting matches this weekend. Arsenal needs a win today in order to keep the top spot in the Premier League and stay relevant in the fight for the title. Stoke on the other hand is a team that has been doing an amazing work last couple of seasons and it finally came the time to reward the effort with a placement in one of the Europen cups. If they want to stay in the contention for one of those, they will need to press for the win in these types of games. Both to score odds are really good for me for medium stake. Good Luck.

Both teams to score in ordinary time - yes at odds 1.94

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Chelsea vs Everton

Everton has stringed together a couple of really good performances since the devastating loss to Stoke in the last minute of the game. They played Manchester City twice and won one game. They are playing solid football but there is a problem that keeps showing up in their games this season. They play poorly against teams that are from the top of the of the lot. And no matter what the standings are, Chelse is a top tier team in the Premier League and, maybe even more important, they are motivated. Chelsea is catching the last train in January to catch up with the Champions League portion of the table and they will take this game very seriously, especially after the draw against WBA. Odds are not favoring home team enough and I will stake a medium stake on this game. Good Luck.

Chelsea to win against Everton in ordinary time at odds 1.86

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Denver Nuggets vs Miami Heat

Denver has been on the rebuild this season and they are looking to make a splash as soon as the next season. That being said, they are playing solid basketball considering their roster and with Gallinari back, they even managed to get a win over the Golden State on Wednesday. But it is far-fetched to imagine that they should be at even odds with Miami tonight, considering injuries on the visiting team as well. But the bookmakers are having little fate in the Heat which is a mistake no one should make often. This team is yet to lose 4 straight in a very long time and they lost last 3 games. They will be motivated tonight to perform and I think their overall quality just trumps Denver's athletic team. Look for Bosh to go big in this game. Smaller stake for this one. Good Luck.

Miami Heat Asian Handicap -1.50 in full event at odds 1.84

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Charlotte Hornets vs Atlanta Hawks

After looking like one of the best teams in the Eastern Conference over the first couple of months, the Charlotte Hornets have now dropped seven straight games overall. The Hornets are missing their man in the middle, Al Jefferson, but there is no reason for this team to be playing so poorly. They mostly fail in the keeping the pace of the game on track and are often failing in the first half of the game. Atlanta is slowly picking up the tempo after a slow start of the season and they will be looking to time their peak of the form for the playoffs. This game should be an inefficient one and slow pace is what gives me confidence that an under 207.5 game is quite possible. Smaller stake for this one. Good Luck.

The match between Charlotte Hornets and Atlanta Hawks will end with under 207.50 points in full event at odds 1.90

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Liverpool vs Arsenal

With this being a really important game for both of these teams, the pressure is mounting up as the game draws near. What really sticks out to me is the fact that Wenger was going "all in" for the game against Sunderland in the FA Cup last week in order not to mess with the team chemistry. This game will decide a lot in this years Premier League. Arsenal has the chance to cement their top spot while for Liverpool is one of the last chances to catch the pace of the top 5 teams. I also feel like this game is perfectly timed for Klopp as well as it is a perfect test for him to show his progress. This game will not lack pace, motivation and I am hoping goals. Everyone is expecting a low scoring game and the market is responding to that trend which really makes a perfect opportunity to exploit high odds given for over 2.5 goals. Medium stake for this one. Good Luck.

Total goals over 2.50 goals in ordinary time at odds 2.03

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PSV - Atletico Madrid

Despite qualifying for the knockout stage of this year's Champions League, PSV is not really having a great season. The domestic championship  is not decided yet, but what sticks out are the defensive holes many teams managed to exploit. Same goes for the teams they played in the group stage of the Champions League. They score a lot of goals but the all out attacking style is hurting them on the other end. One of the best teams in the world to exploit such a game style is Atletico Madrid. They play fast paced football and are extremely efficient in the high-pressure games such as this one. They do not shy away from the challenge and rarely play a safe away game in the hopes to get the job done at home. Instead, they use every opportunity they have to attack their opponent, and I see no reason for them to stop that practice for this game. I expect an open game where both of these teams press for the win and with a really good chance of over two goals. Great odds are posted for this bet and I am willing to stake a medium amount on this game. Good Luck.

Total goals over 2.50 goals in ordinary time at odds 2.45

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Performance Review

Things have leveled off since the last review and we have overcome the technical difficulties we had, but they left a dent in our plan to post tips with the 1 a day frequency. We are still working out kinks in our mailing list and have a couple of ideas on how to improve our pick selection. The main thing in this review is that we recorded a minute loss over the last 50 picks which leveled our ROI % to a more reasonable point. Important goals are still the same and we will be looking to reach all of them by the next review. 

Here is the summary of our work after 150 posted picks:

• Average odds:      2.05
• Winrate:                 55.33%
• Total staked:         1196
• Total Returned:     1366.4
• ROI:                        14.25%
• Profit:                     170.4

Having a win rate over 55% ✔
Having average odds slightly better than 2.0 ✔
Having ROI % run over 10%, ✔
Post picks with regular frequency, minimum 5 a week ✔
Objective focus on value/general public ✔
Fine tune stake size system to minimize risk and maximize profit ✔
Fine tune publishing system so that picks get to bettors in a timely fashion 
Set up a regular weekly preview blog

Sort out and automatize posting process 

Couple of goals still left for us to reach and we are working on a couple of new ones. Let us know in the Contact Us section page if there is something You would like us to work on.

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Victoria Azarenka vs Roberta Vinci

This is an interesting matchup between these two competitors where the current form tilts to the one side, but the history of their matchups tilts to the other. A healthy balance can be found in the fact that this is the start of the season and history is really more important than the current form. And mental strength is a huge factor here as well. Bookmakers have the same logic as they favored heavily Azarenka over Vinci. What I think the best course to take when approaching this match is consideration of the implied odds coupled with the official ranking. I think this match will get really competitive, especially in the first set and we could easily see the match going over 19.5 games. Medium stake for this one. Good Luck.

The match between Victoria Azarenka and Roberta Vinci will end with over 19.50 games in full event at odds 1.87

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Roger Federer vs Tobias Kamke

At the start of the new season, Roger will be looking to repeat last year's success, playing a couple of Grand Slam finals and winning a couple of masters. Brisbane is where he starts his campaign but the first opponent is somewhat of a challenge. Tobias Kamke is ranked 277 but I expect him to finish the year in at least top 150. He has been looking good in the 3 matches he already played in Brisbane and he will me going for broke in this match. Federer played an exhibition comp 3 weeks ago and looked like he is not really on top of his game. An excellent price is given for over 9.5 games in the first set and I am willing to take it for a small stake. Good Luck.

The match between Roger Federer and Tobias Kamke will end with over 9.50 games in 1st set at odds 2.50

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