Sunday, October 25, 2015

We have made some tweaks in our pick selection and bounced back from a downswing around 70th - 80th and we are really happy with our results. These first 100 picks were sort of a benchmark for us where we set some goals up and most of them were achieved:

Having a win rate over 55% 
Having average odds slightly better than 2.0 
Having ROI % run over 10%, 
Post picks with regular frequency, minimum 5 a week 
Objective focus on value/general public 
Fine tune stake size system to minimize risk and maximize profit
Fine tune publishing system so that picks get to bettors in a timely fashion 
Set up a regular weekly preview blog



Most of them we were able to accomplish but we are still working on a mailing system to speed up a delivery process because lots of our picks are extremely time sensitive. And the stake size strategy is still kind of a mystery for us. We know that staking the same amounts on odds ranging from 1.57 to 7.2 is probably not the most efficient strategy, but the sample size of 100 picks is still too low for us to adjust it so until we find a best way to calculate the real value/stake size, we will continue to stake every pick with 8 points. This is what first 100 picks look like in numbers:



  • Average odds:      2.10
  • Winrate:                 58%
  • Total staked:         796
  • Total Returned:     976.08
  • ROI:                        22.62%
  • Profit:                     180.08

A couple of the goals in the coming months will be a broader focus on sports other than football and including a suggestion box for you to ask about games you want to bet on. Most people like to bet on teams with heart in mind and that is one of the reasons they are losing, so the" analyze this game" section could be a success. Next review will be after 150 bets and until then, Good Luck.

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